Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.287121 1.467703 1.664318 1.894271 2.155847 2.444160 2.786107
2025-02-09 1.036831 1.289910 1.589836 1.971452 2.444204 3.010867 3.742201
2025-02-16 0.882219 1.165861 1.522330 2.003143 2.634997 3.437585 4.535727
2025-02-23 0.748932 1.040033 1.423932 1.967155 2.716446 3.714537 5.147199
2025-03-02 0.654375 0.948719 1.353477 1.950543 2.809451 4.001715 5.785720
2025-03-09 0.586629 0.883941 1.308377 1.958222 2.928871 4.326844 6.497868
2025-03-16 0.530813 0.828554 1.268402 1.965168 3.042283 4.646727 7.224460
2025-03-23 0.486846 0.785182 1.240110 1.983864 3.170798 4.994825 8.018955
2025-03-30 0.435599 0.724424 1.178150 1.942225 3.198539 5.186457 8.580931
2025-04-06 0.391590 0.670381 1.120815 1.900842 3.220026 5.365784 9.133112
2025-04-13 0.348955 0.614080 1.054025 1.836399 3.195453 5.464739 9.555634
2025-04-20 0.341561 0.616956 1.085634 1.940332 3.463107 6.069563 10.887227
2025-04-27 0.334272 0.619838 1.118329 2.050670 3.754611 6.744685 12.411992
2025-05-04 0.322373 0.613277 1.133829 2.131749 4.001404 7.362906 13.892218
2025-05-11 0.304723 0.594182 1.124666 2.166089 4.164489 7.842457 15.157005
2025-05-18 0.279013 0.557214 1.078992 2.127183 4.185706 8.061045 15.946150
2025-05-25 0.258571 0.528450 1.046050 2.109226 4.244391 8.352771 16.898340
2025-06-01 0.243185 0.508210 1.027577 2.117527 4.354214 8.749595 18.088667
2025-06-08 0.229058 0.489166 1.009677 2.125035 4.462323 9.150302 19.318833
2025-06-15 0.217422 0.474193 0.998584 2.145245 4.597537 9.614862 20.718171
2025-06-22 0.200406 0.446179 0.958201 2.100233 4.591760 9.789386 21.519567
2025-06-29 0.184931 0.420089 0.919603 2.055498 4.582251 9.954208 22.312002
2025-07-06 0.168663 0.390754 0.871566 1.985835 4.512068 9.983453 22.807847